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The Madison Avenue Field GuideA field guide to marketing & advertising, by Brandon Mina

GlossaryAI in MarketingPropensity Modeling

AI in Marketing

Propensity Modeling

Scoring how likely each customer is to take an action, such as buying or churning.

By Brandon MinaCEO, BrandPilot AIUpdated November 2026

Short answer

Propensity modeling is a predictive technique that scores how likely each customer is to take a specific action, such as buying, upgrading, or churning. Models use behavioral, demographic, and transactional data to assign probabilities. Marketers use these scores to target high-likelihood prospects, suppress unlikely ones, and allocate budget more efficiently.