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The Madison Avenue Field GuideA field guide to marketing & advertising, by Brandon Mina

GlossaryMeasurement & AttributionUplift Modeling

Measurement & Attribution

Uplift Modeling

Predictive modeling that estimates how much a treatment like an offer or ad changes each customer's behavior, so marketers target persuadable people.

By Brandon MinaCEO, BrandPilot AIUpdated November 2026

Short answer

Uplift modeling is predictive modeling that estimates how much a treatment, such as an offer or ad, changes each customer's behavior compared with no treatment. Instead of targeting people likely to buy anyway, marketers focus on persuadable customers whose behavior actually changes, reducing wasted spend and avoiding those who react negatively.