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The Madison Avenue Field GuideA field guide to marketing & advertising, by Brandon Mina

GlossaryStrategy & FrameworksBass Diffusion Model

Strategy & Frameworks

Bass Diffusion Model

Frank Bass's 1969 forecasting model predicting new-product adoption from innovation (external influence) and imitation (word-of-mouth) coefficients.

By Brandon MinaCEO, BrandPilot AIUpdated November 2026

Short answer

The Bass Diffusion Model is Frank Bass's 1969 forecasting model that predicts new-product adoption using two coefficients: innovation, reflecting external influence such as advertising, and imitation, reflecting word of mouth. It produces the familiar S-shaped adoption curve and is used to forecast sales of new technologies and durable goods before much data exists.