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The Madison Avenue Field GuideA field guide to marketing & advertising, by Brandon Mina

GlossaryMeasurement & AttributionSynthetic Control

Measurement & Attribution

Synthetic Control

An experimental method that builds a weighted blend of untreated regions or units to mimic the test group and estimate what would have happened without treatment.

By Brandon MinaCEO, BrandPilot AIUpdated November 2026

Short answer

Synthetic control is a causal inference method that builds a weighted blend of untreated regions or units to mimic a test group before an intervention. Comparing the test group with this synthetic counterpart afterward estimates what would have happened without the treatment. It is commonly used for geo-based marketing experiments.