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The Madison Avenue Field GuideA field guide to marketing & advertising, by Brandon Mina

GlossaryMeasurement & AttributionConfidence Interval

Measurement & Attribution

Confidence Interval

A range of values that likely contains the true effect of a test, expressing the uncertainty around a measured lift.

By Brandon MinaCEO, BrandPilot AIUpdated November 2026

Short answer

A confidence interval is a range of values that likely contains the true effect being measured, such as the lift from an A/B test, at a chosen confidence level like 95%. It expresses the uncertainty around a result: narrow intervals indicate precise estimates, while wide intervals suggest the true effect could differ substantially.